Out of Stock Inventory

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You’re a data analyst at a global CPG distributor that tracks daily stock availability across ~80 countries for the brands in its portfolio. The operations team wants to triage which brands are exposed to systemic supply-chain risk, which have only localized issues, and which are running clean so they know where to spend investigative cycles.

You have access to a daily inventory table:

inventory_status

Column Type Description
date DATE The day the snapshot was taken
country VARCHAR ISO country code where stock is held
company VARCHAR Brand in the portfolio
product VARCHAR SKU identifier
is_out_of_stock BOOLEAN TRUE if the SKU was out of stock at any point that day in that country

Over the trailing 30 days, every company in the portfolio falls into one of three buckets:

  1. Resilient — no stock-outs anywhere.
  2. Localized risk — stock-outs occurred, but only ever within a single country.
  3. Systemic risk — stock-outs occurred across multiple countries.

Given this bucket distribution, propose three business hypotheses the operations team should investigate to act on these results. For each hypothesis:

  • State the mechanism you think is driving the pattern.
  • Describe the follow-up analysis that would confirm or kill it.
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